← Teacher guide

Complementary events

Students choose events on a dice and two dice, show their complements, and use P(not A) = 1 − P(A), including for 'at least one' (AC9M8P01, nodes 1 and 2).

Data and chance · Chance · about 40 minutes · Open the student lesson

Classroom resources

Load these into Waypoints Prepare: choose Load URL and paste the copied address, or download the file and import it. In Prepare, the worksheet's Teacher edition shows the answers; the student copy hides them.

Students will be able to

Timing

Predict and Run 8 min · Investigate 10 min · Modify 12 min · Practise and Make 10 min

Before class

Do the Run board yourself first. Students need sample spaces and probability as a fraction (Year 7 Chance).

The one idea: an event and its complement cover every outcome exactly once, so their probabilities add to 1. The common mistake is calling any two events that can't happen together complementary (Ben's mistake); complementary events must also cover everything. "Mutually exclusive" is the formal word for can't-happen-together; it is used in the teacher notes, not required of students yet.

'At least one' is the main use: one block to count (none) instead of many cases.

Wider: the chance of at least one six in four rolls of a dice, 1 − (5/6)⁴, a famous gambling question (needs multiplying, Year 10).

Running the lesson

  1. Predict: ask whether the other colours matter.
  2. Run: ask whether any outcome is in both, or in neither.
  3. Investigate: ask Ben where a roll of 3 goes.
  4. Modify: ask why counting 'no six' is quicker than 'at least one six'.
  5. Make: ask how many outcomes make a quarter of 36.

The hard part (on purpose)

Telling complementary from 'can't happen together'. Ask: does every outcome land in one of the two?

When students get stuck

What you will seeA question to askThe fix
A student says a heart and a spade are complementary.Where do clubs go?Complementary events cover every outcome.
A student counts 12 outcomes with at least one six.Which outcome did you count twice?(6, 6) is in both rows; or count no six (25) and subtract from 36.
A student writes P(not A) = P(A).Which outcomes are not in A?Count everything else, or subtract from 1.

Answers to the checks

  1. not red: A spinner lands on red with probability 0.35. It has other colours too. What is the probability it does not land on red?
    0.65. Not red is every other outcome, so P(not red) = 1 − 0.35, whatever the other colours are.
  2. an event and its complement: Click the outcomes for A: 'roll at least 5'. Then press Show not A. Do P(A) and P(not A) add to 1? Does that match your prediction?

    P(A) = 2/6 and P(not A) = 4/6. Every outcome is in exactly one of them, so they add to 1.
  3. Not late: The chance a bus is late is 0.15. What is the chance it is not late?
    0.85
    P(not late) = 1 − 0.15 = 0.85.
  4. Find the mistake: Ben works with two events on a dice. Click the line where his reasoning goes wrong.
    line 3
    Line 3: A and B can't happen together, but they don't cover every outcome (2, 3, 4 and 5 are in neither). Complementary events must cover everything. P(B) = 1/6.
  5. Which pair: On one roll of a dice, which pair of events is complementary?
    Roll an even number; roll an odd number
    Every number is even or odd, never both: together they cover every outcome once.
  6. No six: Two dice are rolled. Choose every outcome with no six at all.

    25 outcomes: both dice show 1 to 5.
  7. At least one six: So what is the probability of at least one six when two dice are rolled?
    11/36
    At least one six is the complement of no six: 1 − 25/36 = 11/36.
  8. Three coins: Three coins are tossed. What is the probability of at least one head?
    7/8
    Only TTT has no heads, so P(at least one head) = 1 − 1/8 = 7/8.
  9. Faulty globes: A factory finds that 2% of its light globes are faulty. What percentage are not faulty?
    98
    100% − 2% = 98%: probabilities as percentages add to 100%.
  10. Win or not: P(a team wins) = 0.45. A draw is not possible. What is P(the team does not win)?
    0.55
    1 − 0.45 = 0.55.
  11. Complement in words: On a dice, what is the complement of 'roll at least 4'?
    Roll 3 or less
    At least 4 is 4, 5, 6, so the complement is 1, 2, 3.
  12. Cards: A card is drawn from a pack. A is 'a heart' and B is 'a spade'. Are A and B complementary?
    No: some cards are in neither
    They can't both happen, but clubs and diamonds are in neither. Complementary events cover every outcome: P(not a heart) = 3/4, not P(spade).
  13. Review: expected count: Review: a dice is rolled 120 times. How many sixes do you expect?
    20
    1/6 × 120 = 20.
  14. a quarter: Two dice: choose an event A with P(A) = 1/4. Then show not A. What is P(not A)?

    Any 9 outcomes give 9/36 = 1/4, and not A is the other 27: P(not A) = 3/4.

Solutions

One possible solution for each task. Other correct programs are fine.

at least one › No six

Open task: any program that does what the step asks.

at least one › At least one six

Open task: any program that does what the step asks.

at least one › Three coins

Open task: any program that does what the step asks.

at least one › Faulty globes

Open task: any program that does what the step asks.

a quarter

Open task: any program that does what the step asks.

Stretch and support

Stretch: Two dice are rolled. Which is more likely: at least one six, or a sum of 7 or more? Use complements.

Support: A sample space printed as a grid, with two colours of highlighter.

Coach prompt (optional)

For a student who has done the lesson and is still stuck. They paste it into an AI tool your school allows; it asks questions about this lesson's one idea and doesn't give answers. Students see it on the course recap page only through a link ending in ?coach=1: recap with coach prompts.

You are a patient maths coach for a Year 8 student in Australia. Help me understand the ideas in ONE lesson only, from the lesson "Complementary events".

The ideas:
- Recognising complementary events: I can Students recognise complementary events as pairs that together cover all outcomes, and state that P(A) + P(not A) = 1.
- Using the complement relationship to calculate probabilities: I can Students use P(not A) = 1 − P(A) to calculate probabilities in applied contexts, including cases where finding the complement is more efficient than direct calculation.

What understanding looks like:
- Correctly identifies the complement of a given event.
- States P(A) + P(not A) = 1 and verifies it for a specific case.
- Does not confuse complementary events with mutually exclusive events.
- Correctly calculates P(not A) given P(A) and vice versa.
- Identifies at least one context where finding the complement is more efficient.
- Applies the complement relationship correctly to a practical problem.

Mistakes students often make here:
- A student says a heart and a spade are complementary.
- A student counts 12 outcomes with at least one six.
- A student writes P(not A) = P(A).

How to coach me (rules from the Waypoints Kit coach):
- Ask me one short question at a time (2 to 4 sentences) and wait for my answer. Never give me the answer before you have heard my thinking, and don't hide the answer inside your question.
- Start in Discover: ask me to explain the idea in my own words, or to predict what happens in a simple example. I can switch any time: "teach it back" (you play a beginner and I explain), "spot the flaw" (you show me an answer with one common mistake and I find it), or "check" (I explain, and you tell me what is solid and what to revisit).
- If I am stuck or say "just tell me", ask what I think first, then give a small hint or a simpler example. Explain only after I have had a real go.
- Stay in this idea: don't teach later ideas or add extra content. If I ask about something else, say it is for another lesson and bring me back.
- After you help, ask me one reflective question, such as how I know my answer is right or what I would check.
- Praise my effort and method, not my ability.
- You can be wrong: if I rely on something you said, remind me to check it against my notes or the lesson. If you don't know, say so.
- Use simple words.
- Stop when I can explain the idea in my own words and get one new example right. Then tell me to go back to the lesson "Complementary events".

Exit ticket

P(it snows tomorrow) = 0.08. What is P(it does not snow)? Then: two coins are tossed; what is P(at least one tail)?

0.92. And 1 − P(HH) = 1 − 1/4 = 3/4.

What each step is for

Where it leads

This covers AC9M8P01.

Where it leads: two-way tables and Venn diagrams (next), and 'and', 'or' and 'not' in compound events.